Last February Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán declared The European Court of Human Rights (EHCR) to be a “threat to the security of EU people.” Addressing the annual congress of the European People’s Party (EPP), Orban went further, stating that the EHCR was presenting “an invitation to migrants.”
It is far too early to know if Orbán’s warning will be taken up and converted to action by his countrymen. What we do know is this: Reform of the Common European Asylum System is very much a hot topic among the EU ruling class. The commission is pressing for sweeping changes to the legal mechanism which determines which state responsible for examining an asylum claim. Referred to as the Dublin system, the rules that mandate which country is essentially, financially responsible for individual asylum claims. (For some background on Dublin, read my previous article.)
The divisions within Europe are growing wider. The European Parliament and Council want only to accelerate EU integration. They don’t want resistance to their will. Up to now, pretty much, everything about how the EU functions has been founded on diplomacy and consensus.
Hard lines are being drawn. In 2015, Hungary and Poland teamed up to derail a scheme to require same-sex marriages be honored throughout the EU regardless of the jurisdiction where the marriage took place. Included were new laws around pensions and property rights that would remove individual countries right to manage its own legislation.
Then Brexit happened. Orban, who was against Brexit, believes the migrant influx into the UK was the tipping point. While Orban believes in the idea of the EU, he also is firm that each country has the right to determine its future.
To that end, Hungary and Poland along with the Czech Republic, and Slovakia, often termed the Visegrad 4, form one faction in the future of Europe. In the south, you see Greece, France, Italy, Spain, Portugal, Cyprus and Malta forming an alliance. In effect, this is land locked countries versus coastal regions.
In the wake of Brexit, and the UK’s likely withdrawal from the Union, the Visegrad countries are ever more concerned with the European Commission stripping them of sovereignty. Above all else, they are fighting to retain legal control of the activities within their borders. As I have argued before, it is Brussels, the de facto capital of the EU, which unflinchingly works to increase control.
When Poland’s ruling Law and Justice Party drafted bills to “give parliament greater power to dismiss activist judges” and an additional responsibility “to consider the nation’s Christian values when passing judgements” it has been reported that they were threatened by Brussels. (President Andrzej Duda’s later refused to sign these bills, but the issues will resurface.) Orban was quick to offer Hungary’s absolute long-term support.
All of these events, in my opinion, are drawn into focus when considered within the context of a long term goal of repopulating the continent. Against this plan, Orban has urged the EPP to promote “national pride and Christian identity” failing this, Europe will have a Muslim majority within a generation.
These countries have always shared cultural and religious traditions which must now be strengthened in order to preserve them. In the simplest of terms—and most certainly everything about this is so utterly complex— the takeaway message is that sovereignty matters.
To be sure, in addition to the official governmental and legal bodies, like any dynamic system, there are many groups and agendas at work. I’m trying to organize my understanding of where we are today, in 2017. Then, best as I am able, I can lay out some thoughts on those other forces: The United Nations; Islam; NGOs, and of course, George Soros. Nothing less than the future of traditional European civilization is at stake.
You can find Rob at @dailyrasp on Gab.ai