President Trump stepped in it when he ordered the airstrike against the al-Shayrat airbase in Syria. There’s no better way to put it than that. Trump’s decision was based on a lethal cocktail of bad intelligence being fed to him by neoconservative elements in his council of advisors and the need for a win against enemies who were multiplying daily.
The result was a domestic and geopolitical blunder will without rival this century. Trump reneged on his campaign promises and his inauguration speech to deliver the most cynical use of U.S. military hardware since Bill Clinton’s Iraq bombing during the Monica Lewinsky investigation.
Overnight he morphed from the Populist hope to the second coming of George W. Bush. And all he gained in the process was a few days relief from the endless bashing from the U.S. media.
What he lost was any hope of a peace process with Russia, who have now turned their back on him. In addition, he lost a broad swath of the U.S. electorate that only voted for him because of his foreign policy differences with Hillary Clinton.
Make no mistake, while the Russians are leaving the door open for discussion it will be on their terms.
Prime Minister Dmitri Medvedev’s statement on the issue could be boiled down to “Poshyol ti” or ‘Poshol ool.” In SFW language it means, “Go away” emphatically. In practical terms, it means the Russians have left the table and only concrete acts of amends/contrition will open things back up.
In other words, if Trump thinks this is some opening offer, “Art of the Deal” style, he doesn’t know what he’s doing. After years of failing to get any business done in Russia he should know that his style doesn’t work.
Russian President Vladimir Putin reached this “Psho” level with the EU and the U.S. three years ago over Ukraine. He rightly understands that peace in Ukraine is not possible if we don’t withdraw our support for the Poroshenko government. The same is true for U.S. support of Syrian rebels.
So, what do I read this morning? The G-7 will try to pressure Russia in giving up its support of Assad. The peace process in Syria began for real in December with the Astana talks spear-headed by Russia and Iran and which excluded the U.S. (though we were invited to observe). But, the G-7, a group of countries that have done nothing but attempt regime change in Russia itself, believes the only path to peace is Syria is without Assad around.
Roughly translated that means the G-7 group of nations will not stop escalating the conflict unless Assad steps down. Trump and his advisors, specifically General McMaster believe they can defeat ISIS and get rid of Assad at the same time. This is the kind of nonsensical thinking that led to the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq. You know, the wars Trump was go against for so long.
No, the Astata talks resulted in the only lasting cease-fire of the six-year Syrian Civil War. It involved some concessions on Assad’s part, which took a little Russian arm-twisting. And that cease-fire, along with the fall of Aleppo to SAA forces, that was the catalyst for the current advances being made against ISIS.
Our support of Kurdish forces in the Northeast of Syria had zero to do with this.
This is a war Donald Trump knows that then-Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and President Barack Obama fomented on behalf of Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Turkey and Israel.
We know this because he tweeted endlessly about it in the wake of the last false flag chemical weapons attack which was to be used as a pretext for U.S. and NATO forces to go in and remove the ‘dictator’ Assad.
And yet, here we are with the only thing flying faster than the Tomahawk missiles are the denouncements of Russia, Syria and, weirdly Iran by the usual cadre of snakes from Jerusalem to Riyadh and the Trio of Vipers in London, New York and Washington D.C.
This is not some 4-d chess ploy by Trump to drive a wedge between Russia, China and Iran. But that is exactly what Henry Kissinger was advising Trump to do back in December. That was when Trump’s rhetoric on the issues began to change.
In fact, this attack will only strengthen their alliance as they look to torpedo the U.S. through the same hybrid war tactics routinely used by the U.S. to isolate and destabilize anyone who dare oppose our Imperial edicts.
China has financial weapons of mass destruction and regardless of the optics coming out of the meeting between Chinese Premier Xi Jinping and Trump, integration of Chinese and Russian policies will continue with a generation-long eye towards a central Asian renaissance.
When Russia refuses to back down after Tillerson meets with Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov this week, we’ll find out just how little his words mean to Russian ears that have already gone deaf. Any good will that may have been built up through Trump’s campaign is gone.
The Russians care only about actions. And this action was a clear message that Trump’s idea of America First runs through Israel.
Since the first missile strike in Yemen the weekend of Trump’s inauguration I’ve been wondering why he would be backing the Saudis in their quagmire. The war in Yemen is a proxy war versus Iran, who have been supporting the Houthi in Yemen.
The key to understanding this connection is Israel.
Israel, under Obama, had no friend in the White House. Now, thanks to Jared Kushner and Ivanka Trump we have an ‘Israeli Firster’ in the White House. Emboldened by this, Israel expanded its violations of Syria’s airspace – long tolerated by Russia and Assad as long as it was clearly not to support ISIS or Al Qaeda – which Syria responded to last month.
That, to me, is the spark here. Israel likely feels they can manipulate Trump into going into conflict with Russia over Syria as a stepping stone to Iran. In other words, we are right back to square one as if Clinton and Obama were still running things.
And, now that Russia is pot-committed in Syria, is the biggest mistake anyone could have ever made. In the end, we voted for Trump to bring peace to the region. All he did was delay the war that Hillary wanted for roughly six months.
It was a good dream while it lasted.